Status Quo

Just a few more hours to go until the Screen Actors Guild reveals their picks for the best performances of the year, even though none of their nominees include Bright Star, A Serious Man, In the Loop or Moon (yet still include Invictus).

As ever, here is how I think it will go down: dully, with no surprises. I'd say "Hopefully, I'm wrong", but I might win something if I'm not, so I really hope I'm right.

STUNT ENSEMBLE

Public Enemies

Star Trek

Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen

WHAT WILL WIN: Star Trek. Public Enemies will have to be content with being remembered in any category at an awards show this year.

WHAT SHOULD WIN: Probably Star Trek. I mean, just the Sulu fight alone...

ENSEMBLE

An Education

The Hurt Locker

Inglourious Basterds

Nine

Precious

WHAT WILL WIN: Inglourious Basterds. The strength of their ensemble is undeniable.

WHAT SHOULD WIN: Inglourious Basterds.

ACTOR

Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart

George Clooney, Up in the Air

Colin Firth, A Single Man

Morgan Freeman, Invictus

Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker

WHO WILL WIN: Jeff Bridges, in the year of making up to Jeff Bridges. No, that's not fair; Crazy Heart is probably crazy good.

WHO SHOULD WIN: Colin Firth, maybe?

ACTRESS

Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side

Helen Mirren, The Last Station

Carey Mulligan, An Education

Gabourey Sidibe, Precious

Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia

WHO WILL WIN: Meryl Streep, though I'm almost tempted to call it for Bullock. But no, the Streep will get it, making her the first lead actress to win back-to-back SAG awards.

WHO SHOULD WIN: Streep. Or Mulligan. Or Sidibe. I haven't really decided.

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Matt Damon, Invictus

Woody Harrelson, The Messenger

Christopher Plummer, The Last Station

Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones

Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

WHO WILL WIN: This is Waltz's show, although I do perceive a threat from veteran actor Plummer.

WHO SHOULD WIN: Waltz, but I haven't seen The Messenger or The Last Station.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Penelope Cruz, Nine

Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air

Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air

Diane Kruger, Inglourious Basterds

Mo'Nique, Precious

WHO WILL WIN: Bad-ass Mo'Nique. I know when Jeff Wells calls her that, he's being a dick, but I really do think she's a bad-ass.

WHO SHOULD WIN: Personal preferences aside (I really loved Farmiga and Kruger), why shouldn't it be Mo'Nique? She's got a good head on her shoulders, she gave one of the best evil mom performances since A Patch of Blue, and...well, she's Mo'Nique.

[EDIT: Thanks Andrew, the word "woman" has been corrected to "lead actress"]