Some people may tell you about their "gut feelings" or "instincts". I wish I had either of those things, but these are pretty much wild guesses. Shots in the dark. Russian roulette.
BEST PICTURE
127 Hours, Black Swan, The Fighter, Inception, The Kids Are All Right, The King's Speech, The Social Network, The Town, True Grit, Winter's Bone
What? No Toy Story 3? I actually just kind of forgot about it and decided this looked fine, though I knew something was missing, so I re-read the Entertainment Weekly predix. Ah. Well, I'm more comfortable cutting an animated film than either 127 Hours or Winter's Bone. Toy Story 3 is certainly deserving, but I don't think that a 10-wide field means all animated, all the time.
BEST DIRECTOR
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
David Fincher, The Social Network
Tom Hooper, The King's Speech
Christopher Nolan, Inception
David O. Russell, The Fighter
BEST ACTOR
Robert Duvall, Get Low
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours
Mark Wahlberg, The Fighter
Really, how are they going to nominate The Fighter for everything but Lead Actor? Does that make sense?
BEST ACTRESS
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale, The Fighter
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
John Hawkes, Winter's Bone
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams, The Fighter
Helena Bonham-Carter, The King's Speech
Mila Kunis, Black Swan
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Sissy Spacek, Get Low
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter's Bone
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
127 Hours
Black Swan
Inception
The Social Network
True Grit
BEST SCORE
How to Train Your Dragon - John Powell
Inception - Hans Zimmer
The King's Speech - Alexandre Desplat
Never Let Me Go - Rachel Portman
The Social Network - Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
This was the hardest one, actually. Three sure things, plus Powell and Portman because...because.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
127 Hours - If I Rise
Burlesque - You Haven't Seen the Last of Me
Tangled - I See the Light
Toy Story 3 - We Belong Together
Waiting for Superman - Shine a Light
BEST EDITING
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The King's Speech
The Social Network
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Alice in Wonderland
Black Swan
Burlesque
The King's Speech
The Tempest
BEST MAKEUP
Alice in Wonderland
True Grit
The Way Back
BEST ART DIRECTION
Black Swan
Inception
The King's Speech
Shutter Island
True Grit
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Alice in Wonderland
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I
Inception
Scott Pilgrim vs. the World
TRON: Legacy
These are the choices Andrew had at his blog...and I found them to be wise choices indeed.
BEST SOUND EDITING
127 Hours
Black Swan
Inception
The Town
True Grit
BEST SOUND MIXING
Black Swan
Inception
The Social Network
The Town
True Grit
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
How to Train Your Dragon
The Illusionist
Toy Story 3
4 comments:
Walter, I find the announcement of the Nominations more exciting than the Awards themselves. And yes, reading about your anticipation is, actually, a highlight of my year!!
I applaud your choices...
I myself would predict a little less Oscar love for "The Town". And I hope hope HOPE Ryan Gosling and Michelle Williams are named for "Blue Valentine".
I don't think Wahlberg is a shoo-in here.
Thank you for predicting "Never Let Me Go" for score. I would LIKE to see that film, and "The King's Speech", both cited for Cinematography.
Funny how many great roles there were for Actresses, and fewer for the men. Quite a switch from the last 40 years!
I predict "Black Swan" with the most nominations, followed by "King's Speech". I will predict fewer nods for "True Grit" and maybe a snub for "Winter's Bone".
See you tomorrow morning, bright and early!
Great predictions! I am SO looking forward to tomorrow's nominations!
I loved 127 Hours, and I really want it to be nominated, but I don't think it will. And am I crazy for thinking Blue Valentine will sneak into Best Picture, Actor, and Actress?
I really like your Steinfeld prediction. I hope if she's nominated, its for Lead Actress, because I want to believe that there's no way Oscar voters would be foolish enough to think she's supporting. I really want to believe that.
Fantastic predictions. I have this feeling Toy Story 3 is going to miss out too, I've had it from the beginning but it's probably not going to happen. At least I'll know I wasn't the only one who thought it though :D
Oh and I hope and pray that Scott Pilgrim gets visual effects.
AFTERMATH--You did extremely well. Good calls on Winters Bone! There were some surprises (nice ones like Bardem) and some unfortunate snubs (Black Swan in lots of categories) and Andrew Garfield. Also some shockers no one could have predicted..."Waiting For Superman"..was it somehow ineligible?
Now the campaigning begins...
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