I concern myself only with the film categories, beginning after the jump....
Best Original Song
Coco - "Remember Me", music and lyrics by Kristen Anderson-Lopez/Robert Lopez
Ferdinand - "Home", music by Nick Jonas/Justin Tranter/Nick Monson, lyrics by Jonas/Tranter
The Greatest Showman - "This Is Me", music and lyrics by Benj Pasek/Justin Paul
Mudbound - "Mighty River", music by Raphael Saadiq, lyrics by Mary J. Blige/Saadiq/Taura Stinson
The Star - "The Star", music and lyrics by Mariah Carey/Marc Shaiman
I did not realize Mariah Carey had written music for The Star! My love for "Mighty River" has been noted. No surprise to see "Remember Me" here, I would bet that that's your winner.
Best Original Score
Dunkirk - Hans Zimmer
Phantom Thread - Johnny Greenwood
The Post - John Williams
The Shape of Water - Alexandre Desplat
Three Billboards outside Ebbing Missouri - Carter Burwell
Zimmer's the one to beat.
Best Screenplay
Lady Bird - Greta Gerwig
Molly's Game - Aaron Sorkin
The Post - Liz Hannah and Josh Singer
The Shape of Water - Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri - Martin McDonagh
"Oh, yeah, Molly's Game," I thought to myself. I like Aaron Sorkin. I love Greta Gerwig's work on Lady Bird. I'm rooting for it, but I suspect Shape of Water or Three Billboards takes the prize here.
Best Director
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Ridley Scott, All the Money in the World
Steven Spielberg, The Post
Ridley Scott! The HFPA were the first to screen Scott's new cut of All the Money in the World, with Christopher Plummer replacing Kevin Spacey; I guess pulling off the titanic feat of reshoots, post-production, and screening within three weeks earned him this spot. I would guess Spielberg or Nolan take the prize.
Best Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Got a feeling...this could be your Oscar lineup, too. Dafoe probably wins, but look out for potential Plummer spoiler.
Best Supporting Actress
Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Hong Chau, Downsizing
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
Is Hong Chau happening? Am I actualyl going to have to see Downsizing now? This could also be your Oscar lineup. Surely Metcalf gets the win, but I still need to see The Shape of Water, I, Tonya, and Downsizing.
Best Foreign Language
A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
First They Killed My Father (Cambodia)
In the Fade (Germany)
Loveless (Russia)
The Square (Sweden)
First They Killed My Father! The only one I've seen, but a movie I love. Your guess is as good as mine for what wins here.
Best Animated Feature
The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Coco
Ferdinand
Loving Vincent
Coco wins, yeah?
Best Actor - Musical/Comedy
Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes
Ansel Elgort, Baby Driver
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Elgort! I have no idea who wins this. Franco or Jackman? I'm just glad to see some love for Battle of the Sexes, which seems to have been (unfairly) largely forgotten.
Best Actress - Musical/Comedy
Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul
Helen Mirren, The Leisure Seeker
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes
Mirren! Does that movie even have a 2017 release date? Stone gave her best performance to date in Battle of the Sexes, so this is fantastic news. This is Robbie's to lose, surely.
Best Picture - Musical/Comedy
The Disaster Artist
Get Out
The Greatest Showman
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
Lady Bird wins this, yeah?
Best Actor - Drama
Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
Tom Hanks, The Post
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.
Strangely tickled to see Washington nominated here. Chalamet's been getting the lion's share of critics' prizes, Oldman was the favorite going in this season...but maybe Day-Lewis gets it, since this is supposed to be his swan song?
Best Actress - Drama
Jessica Chastain, Molly's Game
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Meryl Streep, The Post
Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World
I guess they really liked All the Money in the World! I could see any of the center three ladies taking the prize. Let's say McDormand is most likely.
Best Picture - Drama
Call Me By Your Name
Dunkirk
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
I would guess The Post or The Shape of Water - the two I have not seen.
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